Re: The PEBA Boondoggle
Posted: Thu Jan 18, 2024 4:20 pm
With just September to go, and given my recent complaints about what a tough schedule I have remaining, I thought I'd take a look at how IL teams have fared against contenders versus non-contenders. I've taken records against Florida out of this since most teams have done equally terrible against them. Notable exception Scottish are 5-2 against them, but only NJ and HAR have 3 victories among the rest of the league.
Contenders include AMA, KEN, LON, NJ, SCO, WV. All other teams except FLA are part of the non-contenders group.
The list is sorted by win percentage differential between the two groups of teams, and you can see that Arlington has been just destroyed by contenders while playing merely poor against the non-contenders. Such is the life of the worst IL team this year.
What's more notable is how spread out the contenders are on this list. My team, Amsterdam, are right behind Arlington in terms of differential. We've played great against the non-contenders, but pretty darn lousy against the contenders. The largest portion of that is a 1-6 record against Kentucky. My record versus the contenders is closer to Manchester and Havana than it is to Kentucky and New Jersey.
My divisional rivals London and Scottish have among the lowest differential. I'm sure they, and West Virginia, are probably thinking if they had won a few more games against lousy teams that this race wouldn't be so close right now.
Contenders include AMA, KEN, LON, NJ, SCO, WV. All other teams except FLA are part of the non-contenders group.
Code: Select all
Tm vCont vNon-C Diff
ARL 9-46 (.164) 30-40 (.429) .265
AMA 17-24 (.415) 58-28 (.674) .260
SA 12-35 (.255) 32-36 (.471) .215
KEN 16-17 (.485) 60-26 (.698) .213
NO 17-38 (.309) 34-33 (.507) .198
GLO 14-45 (.237) 29-38 (.433) .196
NJ 22-23 (.489) 54-25 (.684) .195
HAV 25-39 (.391) 36-26 (.581) .190
FLA 31-15 (.674) 76-12 (.864) .190
MAN 21-33 (.389) 43-32 (.573) .184
CST 16-32 (.333) 34-33 (.507) .174
LON 25-24 (.510) 51-27 (.654) .144
SCO 27-22 (.551) 51-26 (.662) .111
WV 21-18 (.538) 56-35 (.615) .077
HAR 27-33 (.450) 34-32 (.515) .065
SJ 26-29 (.473) 35-37 (.486) .013
What's more notable is how spread out the contenders are on this list. My team, Amsterdam, are right behind Arlington in terms of differential. We've played great against the non-contenders, but pretty darn lousy against the contenders. The largest portion of that is a 1-6 record against Kentucky. My record versus the contenders is closer to Manchester and Havana than it is to Kentucky and New Jersey.
My divisional rivals London and Scottish have among the lowest differential. I'm sure they, and West Virginia, are probably thinking if they had won a few more games against lousy teams that this race wouldn't be so close right now.