A little bit of History - as I understand it, others may know more, or recall more, but... In a nutshell, John Rodriguez developed the concept and had a system that used the in-game GM Score as a means of calculating chances for a teams changes based on a detailed analysis of 6-years worth of scores (problem one: what of new GMs) and trends within those 6-years. Basically it was a bit of a crapshoot - literally, as dice were involved - in the true JR manner! Theoretically, every team had a chance for change. When John left us, and Trader Matt took over, Matt created his own system, and when Matt left, and Nigel became Commish (I believe that's in essence the timeline), I am uncertain what happened then - Nigel can chime in on this. Perhaps there was a period where these changes did not occur. Then along came Morris, who posted in this Thread the following after the 2025 season:
Who know's what Trader Matt's system was, but sifting through the crumbs in the above link, and actually communicating with Morris recently, I have come to understand the methods in the system he developed. Where JR's system used game generated scores (of a calculated nature that is a mystery) and then created a 'game of chance', in a sense, Morris' system was based more on the hard data of a season and past results. Different systems, neither necessarily a wrong approach, but I do see the value of what we've most recently done.Morris wrote:"These have not been processed since 2022, largely because Matt's scoring system departed with him. I've put together a formula of my own to adhere to the spirit of the rules set out in the constitution."
A refresher, as quoted from the Constitution:
To my knowledge, Morris made adjustments in 2025. The link above shows him starting the process for 2026, but there is no indication that he finished the process - though his spreadsheet he sent me shows final calculations. Considering how the end of the 2027 season went, and the confusion leading to Morris' resignation, I think it's fair to assume nothing happened in 2027.Constitution wrote:
- A team’s performance has the potential to affect its fan loyalty and market size. Since expectations are different in different markets, each team will be reviewed based on the expectations for their market. Teams with the largest markets and largest budgets will have the greatest expectations. Teams in smaller markets with smaller budgets will have lesser expectations. Teams will be awarded or penalized based on how they fared against those expectations.
- The team that exceeds expectations by the greatest amount will receive a market size increase. The next 4 teams who most exceeded expectations will see a fan loyalty increase.
- The team that performs the worst against expectations will see a market size decrease. The next 4 teams who most faltered against expectations will see a fan loyalty decrease.
- Expectations will be based on market size, team budget, playoff appearances in the last ten seasons, and team record over the last 5 seasons. Points are awarded/subtracted based on team record, place in division, playoff appearance, and winning a championship.
- A minimum of 2 years must pass between fan loyalty changes, and a minimum of 3 years must pass between market size changes. Winning a PEBA championship makes a team exempt from market size/fan loyalty drops for the next 3 years.
Since two years have passed since there have been any loyalty changes, all teams are eligible for this adjustment. None of the teams that received a Market Size adjustment in 2025-26 are inline for that in 2028. We will be adding the additional clause to the Constitution: "1st year GMs will be exempt from penalties."
Adjustments will be determined following the playoffs (and they have), and will (likely) be announced live at this years Winter Meetings. Timing of the adjustments are still being discussed. I will post the full league-wide rankings later in this forum.
Discuss as needed...
