2023 Predictions

[Denny]

Frank is sadly not GMing currently, but there's no reason we can't still play his annual predictions game. How do you think the PEBA will play out in 2023?

Imperial League

Seaboard
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Dixie
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Trans Atlantic
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.

IL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner:
Golden Arm Winner:
Wunderkind Winner:

Sovereign League

Great Lakes
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

Desert Hills
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.

Rising Sun
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.

SL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner:
Golden Arm Winner:
Wunderkind Winner:

Postseason

IL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
_____ over _____ in __ games
_____ over _____ in __ games

SL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
_____ over _____ in __ games
_____ over _____ in __ games

IL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
_____ over _____ in __ games
_____ over _____ in __ games

SL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
_____ over _____ in __ games
_____ over _____ in __ games

League Championship Series Winners
IL: _____ over _____ in __ games
SL: _____ over _____ in __ games

PEC Winner
_____ over _____ in __ games


Scoring Rules:
+1 point for each standings position you're off by
-1 point for each postseason series winner correctly identified
-1 point for correctly guessing the number of games team advance a postseason series (do not need the losing team accurate)
-1 point for getting the PEC winner
-.5 points for identifying an end of season award winner
Lowest score wins

Past Winners:
2015 - Kevin (FLA)
2016 - Kevin (FLA)
2017 - Frank (CON)
2018 - Dan (ARL)
2019 - Denny (PS)
2020 - TBD
2021 - Patrick (HAV)
2022 - Mike (AUR)

[Dinosaurs]

Imperial League

Seaboard
1. Arlington
2. Manchester
3. Charleston
4. Hartford
5. New Jersey

Dixie
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. San Antonio
4. Rio Grande Valley
5. New Orleans

Trans Atlantic
1. Dayton
2. West Virgina
3. Amsterdam
4. London
5. Marseille
6. Havana

IL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: Don Mercer - West Virginia
Golden Arm Winner: Leonard Carver - London
Wunderkind Winner: Masakado Kato - Hartford

Sovereign League

Great Lakes
1. Crystal Lake
2. Fargo
3. Kalamazoo
4. Duluth
5. Canton

Desert Hills
1. Yuma
2. Aurora
3. Tempe
4. Bakersfield
5. Reno
6. Palm Springs

Rising Sun
1. Shin Seiki
2. Niihama-shi
3. Lupin
4. Okinawa
5. New-Tokyo

SL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: Ramon Leach - Reno
Golden Arm Winner: Michael Provost - Aurora
Wunderkind Winner: Pat Watson - Fargo

Postseason

IL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
Kentucky over West Virginia in 4 games
Dayton over Manchester in 5 games

SL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
Yuma over Fargo in 5 games
Tempe over Aurora in 5 games

IL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
Kentucky over Arlington in 6 games
Florida over Dayton in 5 games

SL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
Shin Seiki over Tempe in 5 games
Crystal Lake over Yuma in 4 games

League Championship Series Winners
IL: Florida over Kentucky in 7 games
SL: Crystal Lake over Shin Seiki in 5 games

PEC Winner
Florida over Crystal Lake in 7 games


I really liked the big free agent moves Florida pulled off this offseason, even with the injury issues they've face in spring with their rotation I see them as being a force this year and my favorite, though losing York for half the season and Garza for the full season makes it easy to trouble ahead for them, I'm guessing they make a move before the trade deadline to improve that rotation and I think their offense will be very good this year.

I'm definitely pulling a homerish move by picking my Dinosaurs to make the playoffs after finishing in the bottom 5 of PEBA last season, but where's the fun in being totally realistic now here, right?

[Leones]

Imperial League

Seaboard
1. Arlington
2. Manchester
3. Hartford
4. Charleston
5. New Jersey

Dixie
1. Kentucky
2. Florida
3. Rio Grande Valley
4. San Antonio
5. New Orleans

Trans Atlantic
1. West Virginia
2. Amsterdam
3. Dayton
4. London
5. Marseille
6. Havana

IL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: CF Pat Barry ARL
Golden Arm Winner: SP Leonard Carver LON
Wunderkind Winner: CF Carlos Ryan HAR

Sovereign League

Great Lakes
1. Crystal Lake
2. Duluth
3. Kalamazoo
4. Canton
5. Fargo

Desert Hills
1. Aurora
2. Bakersfield
3. Palm Springs
4. Yuma
5. Tempe
6. Reno

Rising Sun
1. Shin Seiki
2. Okinawa
3. Toyama
4. Niihama
5. Neo Tokyo

SL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: 1B Wilson Muñóz
Golden Arm Winner: SP Michel Provost AUR
Wunderkind Winner: SP Ed Emery DUL

Postseason

IL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
West Virginia over Rio Grande Valley in 7 games
Florida over Amsterdam in 6 games

SL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
Crystal Lake over Duluth in 4 games
Palm Springs over Bakersfield in 7 games

IL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
Arlington over West Virginia in 5 games
Kentucky over FLorida in 6 games

SL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
Shin Seiki over Palm Springs in 6 games
Aurora over Crystal Lake in 6 games

League Championship Series Winners
IL: Arlington over Kentucky in 7 games
SL: Aurora over Shin Seiki in 7 games

PEC Winner
Aurora over Arlington in 7 games

I could have easily gone with Shin Seiki over Aurora to win it all but the Rising Sun division looks to be the weakest division and I think that a will work against them come crunch time. While a threepeat is statistically unlikely the defending champs look tough and deep. The SL playoffs should be very entertaining this year.

[Denny]

Here are the predictions from OOTP's Baseball News Network, based on their Preseason Predictions Report (last updated March 3, so their prognostications may be more unreliable than usual):

Imperial League

Seaboard
1. Arlington
2. Hartford
3. Manchester
4. Charleston
5. New Jersey

Dixie
1. Florida
2. Kentucky
3. San Antonio
4. Rio Grande Valley
5. New Orleans

Trans Atlantic
1. London
2. West Virginia
3. Havana
4. Amsterdam
5. Marseilles
6. Dayton

IL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: Rob Raines (ARL)
Golden Arm Winner: Luigi Bright (ARL)
Wunderkind Winner: not listed by BNN

Sovereign League

Great Lakes
1. Duluth
2. Crystal Lake
3. Fargo
4. Kalamazoo
5. Canton

Desert Hills
1. Palm Springs
2. Aurora
3. Yuma
4. Bakersfield
5. Tempe
6. Reno

Rising Sun
1. Shin Seiki
2. Toyama
3. Okinawa
4. Niihama-shi
5. Neo-Tokyo

SL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: Benton Hawkins (SS)
Golden Arm Winner: Yakamochi Suitani (SS)
Wunderkind Winner: not listed by BNN

Postseason
Assuming BNN here always picks the team with more regular-season wins to advance, in an average number of games

IL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
ARL over WV in 4 games
KEN over SA in 4 games

SL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
DUL over YUM in 4 games
AUR over CL in 4 games

IL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
FLA over KEN in 6 games
LON over ARL in 6 games

SL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
SS over DUL in 6 games
PS over AUR in 6 games

League Championship Series Winners
IL: FLA over LON in 6 games
SL: SS over PS in 6 games

PEC Winner
SS over FLA in 6 games

[Borealis]

A tad late to the party, but here goes nothing...

Imperial League

Seaboard
1. Arlington
2. Manchester
3. Charleston
4. Hartford
5. New Jersey

Dixie
1. Florida
2. Rio Grande Valley
3. Kentucky
4. San Antonio
5. New Orleans

Trans Atlantic
1. Amsterdam
2. West Virginia
3. Dayton
4. London
5. Havana
6. Marseille


IL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: ???
Golden Arm Winner: ???
Wunderkind Winner: ???

Sovereign League

Great Lakes
1. Crystal Lake
2. Duluth
3. Fargo
4. Kalamazoo
5. Canton

Desert Hills
1. Aurora
2. Bakersfield
3. Yuma
4. Tempe
5. Palm Springs
6. Reno

Rising Sun
1. Shin Seiki
2. Lupin
3. Okinawa
4. Niihama-shi
5. New-Tokyo

SL Awards Winners
Royal Raker Winner: ???
Golden Arm Winner: Michael Provost - Aurora
Wunderkind Winner: ???

Postseason

IL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
RGV over Kentucky in 4 games
Amsterdam over West Virginia in 4 games

SL Wild Card Winners - Top 2 seeds get a bye
Yuma over Shin Seiki in 5 games
Bakersfield over Lupin in 4 games

IL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
RGV over Arlington in 6 games
Florida over Amsterdam in 5 games

SL Division Series Winners - Top 2 seeds vs. Wild Card winners
Aurora over Yuma in 5 games
Bakersfield over Crystal Lake in 4 games

League Championship Series Winners
IL: RGV over Florida in 7 games
SL: Aurora over Bakersfield in 6 games

PEC Winner
Aurora over RGV in 5 games


The ThreePeat Lives...

I think the DH is by far the toughest division to handicap - It feels like Reno is the only team that won't make a playoff push. I put Palm Springs 5th, almost by default, and I could easily see them finish second. I think the Bears bounce back with a healthy bag of 'Fireworks', and in theory, Collins should amp up the 'O' - though in that park... IDK... It'll certainly be the most competitive season in the DH - maybe ever... I like what Matt has done with the Ocelots, and think they'll make it over the hump. I also think Florida and Amsterdam have enough to make it through the first season of new management, and it'll be interesting to see where they go moving forward...

[roncollins]

The big question on everyone's mind is "who is this Lupin that everyone is predicting to show up in the RS Division?"

[John]

The big question on everyone's mind is "who is this Lupin that everyone is predicting to show up in the RS Division?"

Old habits die hard.

[Reg]

Well, the long-overdue results of the 2023 prediction game (remember, lowest score wins!)

1. Mike - Aurora (2 points)
2. Denny - Palm Springs (12)
3. Patrick - Havana (14)
4. Cristian - Fargo (34)

The winner is : Mike! For a second year in a row!

[Borealis]

WHOO HOOO!!

The pick myself theory is finally paying off...